Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.392170 0.428549 0.467357 0.511932 0.561830 0.616098 0.679761
2026-02-08 0.333283 0.384337 0.442530 0.514178 0.600575 0.702102 0.831473
2026-02-15 0.295319 0.352948 0.421622 0.510302 0.622964 0.762920 0.952476
2026-02-22 0.270503 0.332607 0.409297 0.512247 0.648808 0.826591 1.080352
2026-03-01 0.247746 0.311772 0.393184 0.506059 0.661342 0.871776 1.186211
2026-03-08 0.228421 0.293221 0.377721 0.498220 0.669401 0.909849 1.284368
2026-03-15 0.209432 0.273384 0.358579 0.483025 0.664785 0.928216 1.353921
2026-03-22 0.201328 0.267471 0.357591 0.492648 0.695878 1.000638 1.513540
2026-03-29 0.193512 0.261244 0.355452 0.500015 0.723693 1.070076 1.676136
2026-04-05 0.185327 0.253839 0.350928 0.503167 0.744840 1.130469 1.830411
2026-04-12 0.177496 0.246370 0.345674 0.504549 0.762903 1.187028 1.984459
2026-04-19 0.170836 0.240156 0.341769 0.507520 0.783441 1.249205 2.156139
2026-04-26 0.161134 0.228982 0.329849 0.497154 0.781367 1.272967 2.260329
2026-05-03 0.155248 0.223255 0.325948 0.499461 0.800980 1.337045 2.452453
2026-05-10 0.148474 0.215762 0.318777 0.495723 0.809516 1.381435 2.610554
2026-05-17 0.143477 0.210737 0.315165 0.497600 0.827997 1.445997 2.820282
2026-05-24 0.137213 0.203376 0.307342 0.491628 0.831502 1.481764 2.972006
2026-05-31 0.131083 0.195926 0.298955 0.484061 0.831299 1.509948 3.110455
2026-06-07 0.123995 0.186606 0.287001 0.469392 0.816385 1.506700 3.174453
2026-06-14 0.121890 0.185300 0.288350 0.478682 0.848464 1.604011 3.497464
2026-06-21 0.119496 0.183386 0.288536 0.485794 0.876763 1.696313 3.824577
2026-06-28 0.116524 0.180360 0.286629 0.488837 0.897019 1.773146 4.125383
2026-07-05 0.113434 0.176988 0.283932 0.490170 0.913791 1.843896 4.422905